Monogamous Prairie Voles Reveal the Neurobiology of Love Scientific American. Please don’t tell the marketing department.

The Fed will be in the thick of the debt limit mess Axios

The tl;dr on Powell Stephanie Kelton, The Lens

Unraveling Dollarization Phenomenal World

Chapter 2: “Rainbows and butterflies” American Banker. Part two of a five-part series. The more revealing URL: why-wells-fargos-fake-accounts-problem-festered-for-so-long.

Climate

Net zero requires massive tracts of land. Habitat conservation lies in the details. Anthropocene

Fusion Energy: A Different Take Mother Pelican. From January, still germane.

Soil tainted by air pollution expels carbon (press release) University of California, Riverside. Original.

Water

California releases its own plan for Colorado River cuts AP

#COVID19

Facing the New Covid-19 Reality New England Journal of Medicine. “There is much to lament in the politicization of the Covid-19 pandemic.” Well worth a read; the authors seem to have achieved a level of sanity. Readers?

Global COVID-19 cases down, but deaths on the rise Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy. “The WHO urged caution in interpreting the trends, due to reduced testing and delays in reporting.”

Using a Dynamic Causal Model to validate previous predictions and offer a 12-month forecast of the long-term effects of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK Frontiers in Public Health. From the Abstract: “A previous 12-month prediction of the size of the epidemic to October 2022 underestimated its sequelae by a fifth. This analysis seeks to explain the reasons for the underestimation before offering new long-term predictions….. The increase in transmissibility together with the public’s response provide plausible explanations for why the model underestimated the 12-month predictions to October 2022. The 2023 projection could well-underestimate the predicted substantial next wave of COVID-19 infection. Vaccination alone will not control the epidemic. The UK COVID-19 epidemic is not over. The results call for investment in precautionary public health interventions.” Ah, “the public.”

China?

We Wanted China’s ‘Zero Covid’ to End, but Not Like This NYT. Matt 27:24.

China’s ‘disappearing market confidence’ presents major test for the Communist Party SCMP

Philippines grants U.S. greater access to bases amid China concerns Reuters

Myanmar

In Myanmar, Resistance Forces Pursue Home Rule Foreign Policy. It’s hard to think otherwise than that the Myanmar NUG gets no support from the “In this house” crowd exactly because they’re fighting a fascist regime.

India

Citigroup wealth unit stops margin loans against India Adani’s securities – source Economic Times

Adani abandons US$2.5 billion share sale in big setback to Indian tycoon Channel News Asia

Dear Old Blighty

Blankets, Food Banks, and Shuttered Pubs: Brexit Has Delivered a Broken Britain Foreign Policy

British workers unite in largest strike in a generation Al Jazeera. “Up to half a million British teachers, civil servants, train drivers and university lecturers…. About 300,000 people on strike on Wednesday are teachers, according to the Trades Union Congress.” Soon, firefighters.

Unions Get a Taste for Mass Strikes After UK’s Day of Action Bloomberg. Lead: “The UK’s labor unions emerged emboldened from the country’s worst [sic] day of strikes for a decade, threatening further coordinated action to force the government’s hand in pay negotiations.” ZOMG ZOMG this is very bad where are the whips and chains

New powers to curb strike disruption approved by MPs BBC. Wowsers:

Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg [(!!)] also raised concerns about the bill, saying it was “badly written” and vague.

The former business secretary said he supported the aims of the legislation and would not vote against it but hoped it would be amended in the House of Lords.

He criticised a so-called “Henry VIII clause” in the bill, which would allow ministers to amend the legislation after it has become law without full parliamentary scrutiny.

Or, in the original German, Ermächtigungsgesetz.

Those on strike not only deserve the pay they’re demanding, we need them to get it if the economy is to survive Tax Research UK

European Disunion

Hungarian President: Hungary strives for a quick ceasefire in Ukraine Daily News Hungary

Orbán comes under Nato scrutiny over purge of military top brass FT

New Not-So-Cold War

Patrick Lawrence: The Pathology of Ukrainian Nationalism ScheerPost. Thoughtful, well worth a read.

Estonian PM shows giant statue of Zelenskyy in style of Statue of Liberty Ukrainska Pravda

Ukraine EU membership: No short cuts on joining, officials warn ahead of summit BBC. After rolling over on the tanks. Please.

How Many Su-27 Interceptors Does Ukraine Have Left? Forbes

Hard Drinking and Murky Finances: How an American Veterans Group Imploded in Ukraine NYT

War tourists fighting on a virtual front, since Ukraine-Russia war Phys.org

The Ukraine War And Von Clausewitz: Strategy Vs. Mere Tactics 1945

Ukraine Support Justified by Realism about U.S. Interests National Review

Politics and Strategy Valdai Discussion Club. Always worth a careful read; Valdai is like a combination of Brookings and CFR; propaganda with an analytical veneer. Or, indeed, vice versa. Fascinating example of mirroring by Russian “scholars” at the WikiPedia entry.

The Caribbean

4 key suspects in Haiti presidential slaying in US custody AP

Biden Administration

Corporate and White-Collar Prosecutions Hit New All-Time Lows in FY 2022 TRAC

U.S. Restores Protections for Alaska’s Tongass National Forest Smithsonian

2024

Delawhere? The Justice Department Remains Silent on Curious Omission from Searched Locations Jonathan Turley

Police State Watch

As Officers Beat Tyre Nichols, a Crime-Fighting Camera Watched Over Them NYT

Body Cameras for Police Threaten Public Safety The Tyee

Tech

AI as Systemic Risk in a Polycrisis (PDF) cepAdhoc. “As our increasingly dynamic and interdependent world deviates from past observations used for design and training, AI systems will become less reliable.”

Shape-Shifting Robot Resembles Terminator Model Manufacturing.net

Assange

Revealed: Sweden destroyed a substantial part of its documents on Julian Assange Il Fatto Quotidiano

Healthcare

‘Hospital purgatory’: Confidence in healthcare plunges as criticism grows louder and larger Becker’s Hospital Review

Sports Desk

Walking the Basketball Dog Kottke.org

Imperial Collapse Watch

CEPR Sanctions Watch, January 2023 CEPR (GF).

Diplomatic Immunity London Review of Books

Class Warfare

Owning Farmland Is Now Cool, Even If You Don’t Farm AgWeb. Plus, you can always hire sharecroppers!

What Is Stoicism? A Definition & 9 Stoic Exercises To Get You Started Daily Stoic. Granted, a Stoic store seems a little… contradictory?

Independent Media Need You to Get the Word Out on Social Media FAIR. Readers?

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.