Powell: Fed made ‘mistakes’ in regulation and supervision on his watch American Banker

Pushback Against Powell’s Prognosis Comes Almost Immediately Bloomberg

How the Fed Became Everything (and Everything Became the Fed) Foreign Policy

Climate

Here Are Five Ways Finance Is Trying to De-Risk Heat Waves Bloomberg

Water

Microplastics in Lake Erie highlight growing concern over potential health effects ABC

#COVID19

Evaluation of Waning of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine–Induced Immunity JAMA. The Abstract: “This systematic review and meta-analysis of secondary data from 40 studies found that the estimated vaccine effectiveness against both laboratory-confirmed Omicron infection and symptomatic disease was lower than 20% at 6 months from the administration of the primary vaccination cycle and less than 30% at 9 months from the administration of a booster dose. Compared with the Delta variant, a more prominent and quicker waning of protection was found. These findings suggest that the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against Omicron rapidly wanes over time.” Remember “You are protected?” Good times. Liberal Democrats should pay a terrible price for its vax-only strategy. Sadly, there’s no evidence they will pay any price at all, unless President Wakefield’s candidacy catches fire.

Virological characteristics of the SARS-CoV-2 omicron XBB.1.16 variant (correspondence) The Lancet. “Altogether, our data suggest that XBB.1.16 has a greater growth advantage in the human population compared with XBB.1 and XBB.1.5, whereas the ability of XBB.1.16 to exhibit profound immune evasion is similar to XBB.1 and XBB.1.5. Since the spike proteins of XBB.1.16 and XBB.1.5 exhibit similar characteristics in terms of infectivity and escape ability from humoral immunity, the increased fitness of XBB.1.16 might be attributed to the mutations in non-spike proteins.” Orgels’ First Rule: “Whenever a spontaneous process is too slow or too inefficient a protein will evolve to speed it up or make it more efficient.”

New COVID Drug Guards Against All Variants in People With Weak Immune Systems St Louis Post-Dispatch. “‘In vitro studies demonstrated that AZD3152 neutralizes all COVID-19 variants, including Arcturus, the latest variant of concern,’ Mene Pangalos, executive vice president of biopharmaceuticals at AstraZeneca, told investors on an earnings call this week. Results of the SUPERNOVA trial on the drug could be out by September, and that may lead to an emergency use authorization by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, CBS News reported.” Of course, I remember when mRNA vaccines were going to be updated, like software. Whatever happened to that? So take this with a truckload of salts.

WHO experts weigh up whether world ready to end COVID emergency Reuters

Long covid patients crying out for local data Medical Republic. By “local” is meant “national,” in a global context.

China?

China’s factory activity dipped in April on weak demand as bumpy post-Covid economic recovery continues South China Morning Post

Small farmers in limbo as Cambodia wavers on Tonle Sap conservation rules Monga Bay

The Koreas

On South Korean President’s Yoon’s performance at the White House:

And:

The ignorance. If indeed it is ignorance. Once the CDC is demolished, the rubble plowed under, and the earth salted, we can move on to the State Department and The Blob generally.

European Disunion

French Want More Protests Against Pension Reform, Poll Shows Bloomberg. May Day:

Umbrella tactics (a la Hong Kong?).

Protester’s hand blown off by grenade during France’s largest May Day protests in 30 years The Telegraph

Protest and Power in France Project Syndicate

Teacher strikes: More schools than ever unable to fully open in England BBC

The Wheels of the Strike. An Interview on the Truck Drivers’ Struggle between Poland and Germany Transnational Social Strike

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine denies Kremlin assault as Russia launches drone attacks FT. Terrible news, terrible:

The Ukrainian postal service was part of a Russian “false flag” operation!

The Counteroffensive By Anne Applebaum and Jeffrey Goldberg, The Atlantic. Wheeling out the big guns, I see. The deck: “The future of the democratic world will be determined by whether the Ukrainian military can break a stalemate with Russia and drive the country backwards—perhaps even out of Crimea for good.” Let me know how that works out.

Mad Max in Bakhmut:

More ammo for Ukraine in new $400m US aid package Straits Times

The U.S. Military Relies on One Louisiana Factory. It Blew Up. WSJ. Our factories do keep doing that.

The unknown Indian company shipping millions of barrels of Russian oil FT

South of the Border

Mexico’s Exports Hit Record in Sign Nearshoring Is Booming Bloomberg

Biden Administration

FTC proposes ban on Meta profiting from minors’ data Reuters

Kroger-Albertsons merger will harm grocery store worker wages Economic Policy Institute

Four ways Biden is boosting fossil fuels — and drawing heat for it The Hill

Senate sends bipartisan rebuke of solar tariff policy to Biden’s desk Politico

Biden administration under pressure to address press freedoms Axios. They could start with Snowden, who goes unmentioned in the current spate of “press freedom” discourse. For some reason.

The Supremes

Supreme Crooks Eschaton. “We’re learning ‘the real work’ is hardly as it has been portrayed over the years.” That goes for a lot.

Senate panel explores ethics standards for US Supreme Court as questions swirl Reuters

Supreme Court: ‘We Wear Gold Crowns Now’ The Onion

B-a-a-a-a-d Banks

PacWest explores potential sale after shares plummet 50% FT

First Republic’s pain had a lot to do with its reliance on wealthy clientele CNN

Why the First Republic drama isn’t over yet Axios

2024

CNN’s Trump town hall reignites debate over media coverage The Hill. True, “debate” and “dogpile” both begin with the letter d, but it shouldn’t be this easy to confuse them.

Why Arsenal’s struggles show you shouldn’t count out Donald Trump FT

ABC News and CNN Manage to Demonstrate Exactly What Not To Do with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Vice

Gunz

Tennessee shooting update:

I have always assumed Christianist political clout from the Covenant School was the issue, but what the Covenant School is worried about is a very, very open question.

Digital Watch

‘No! You stay!’ Cops, firefighters bewildered as driverless cars behave badly Mission Local

Researchers Use A.I. to Decode Words From Brain Scans Smithsonian. “After you get done culling Legal, loop in Marketing….”

Dished up by 3D printers, a new kind of fish to fry Reuters

Inside the Battle Between Big Ag and Lab-Grown Meat The New Republic

Healthcare

Associations between illness-related absences and ventilation and indoor PM2.5 in elementary schools of the Midwestern United States Environment International. From the Abstract: “This study monitored indoor environmental data in 144 classrooms in 31 schools in the Midwestern United States for two consecutive days every fall, winter, and spring during a two-year period; 3,105 pupils attended classrooms where the measurements were conducted. All classrooms were ventilated with mechanical systems that had recirculation; there were no operable exterior windows or doors…. Present results agree with the previously demonstrated benefits of reduced absence rates when classroom ventilation is improved and provide additional evidence on the potential benefits of reducing indoor inhalable particles. Overall, reduced absence rates are expected to provide socioeconomic benefits and benefits for academic achievements, while higher ventilation rates and reduced particle levels will also contribute to reduced health risks, including those related to airborne respiratory pathogens.” Who knew?!

Groves of Academe

I hope we can leave Lord of the Flies on school library shelves:

The whole thread is worth a read.

The Fight for the American Public Library Bloomberg

Realignment and Legitimacy

Americans take a dim view of the nation’s future, look more positively at the past Pew Research Center

The F-35 Lightning II Fighter, In Europe, Wins Fans While Watching Russia Forbes

Imperial Collapse Warch

Chairman Milley on avoiding war with China: U.S. must strengthen military Washington Times. Milley: “It is not in the U.S. interest to see Russia and China form a strategic military alliance, and we should do what we can to make sure that that doesn’t happen.” The brain geniuses in The Blob, however, want to fight a two-front war.

Class Warfare

Not a bad idea:

And then the workers could own the executive AIs collectively (after wiring an electromagnetic shotgun to the forehead of every one of ’em).

Generative AI at Work NBER. At the end, not mentioned in the abstract: “[O]ur findings raise questions about whether and how workers should be compensated for the data that they provide to AI systems. High-skill workers, in particular, play an important role in model development but see smaller direct benefits in terms of improving their own productivity.”

TV’s Streaming Bubble Has Burst, a Writers Strike Looms, and “Everybody Is Freaking Out” Vanity Fair

Cord cutting, streaming losses and the ‘terrifying math’ driving the writers strike CNN. The “terrible math” is the hundreds of millions sucked out of streaming by parasitic executives, before the industry collapsed, ffs.

At a McDonald’s in Kentucky, 10-year-olds worked past midnight, Department of Labor finds NC Newsline

Physicists See ‘Strange Matter’ Form inside Atomic Nuclei Scientific American

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus antidote:

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.