Dear patient readers,

We’ve noticed a drop-off in comments during our unheard-of-ly weird spell of moderation issues. Please comment as normal. Be assured that we have thrown extra capacity at the problem (i.e., Yves and myself) in addition to our moderation team, and that although your comment may not immediately appear, it will not languish. –lambert

What Colors Can Deer See? Field & Stream

Rare Irish orchid discovered in Trinity College after lawn mowing is halted The Irish Times

De-dollarisation would upend the global economy Council on Geostrategy. RAND Europe.

Climate

Recent events indicate Earth’s climate has entered uncharted territory Associated Press

Deforestation in Brazil’s Amazon region drops nearly 34% in Lula’s first 6 months Anadolu Agency

Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections Nature. “Simultaneous harvest failures across major crop-producing regions are a threat to global food security.”

#COVID19

Viral persistence in children infected with SARS-CoV-2: current evidence and future research strategies The Lancet. From the Conclusion: “Evidence exists for the possible spread of SARS-CoV-2 spread into different organs and persistence for weeks to months after initial infection, even in children independently from severity of the acute disease. Viral RNA has been documented in children who have died from critical acute disease, but also in paediatric patients diagnosed with multisystem inflammatory syndrome weeks to months after previous asymptomatic or mild infection with SARS-CoV-2. Whether these events can also occur with new variants of SARS-CoV-2 or in previously vaccinated children is still unknown. Although the biological significance of the possibility for viral spread and persistence in children is unknown, the substantial evidence for it should not be neglected, and should inform future clinical, biological, and pharmacological studies.”

Impact of imprinted immunity induced by mRNA vaccination in an experimental animal model Journal of Infectious Diseases. From the Abstract: “The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants has led to concerns that ancestral SARS-CoV-2-based vaccines may not be effective against newly emerging Omicron subvariants. The concept of “imprinted immunity” suggests that individuals vaccinated with ancestral virus-based vaccines may not develop effective immunity against newly emerging Omicron subvariants, such as BQ.1.1 and XBB.1. Here, we investigated this possibility using hamsters. While natural infection induced effective antiviral immunity, breakthrough infections in hamsters with BQ.1.1 and XBB.1 Omicron subvariants after receiving the 3-dose mRNA-LNP vaccine resulted in only faintly induced humoral immunity, supporting the possibility of imprinted immunity.” Vax and relax my Sweet Aunt Fanny.

Where do viruses hide in the human body? BMJ. From the Abstract: “Virus particles often hide in ‘immunoprivileged sites’ around the human body, also sometimes called sanctuary sites, that our immune systems don’t monitor or protect as closely as the rest of our bodies. These include the brain, spinal cord, pregnant uterus, testes, and eyes…. Viruses such as influenza and SARS-CoV-2 primarily infect the respiratory tract but can move elsewhere. Influenza viruses can persist after infection in people’s intestinal tract and stool, through swallowed secretions from the nose and throat or viruses in the blood.”

Researchers create test to detect SARS-CoV-2 in any animal species Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy

Losing grandparents to COVID may be increasing youth violence FOX

Should We Just Listen to the Scientists? JSTOR Daily

Another deadly pandemic seems inevitable – but there is a way to avoid it John Vidal, Guardian

China?

Peak China, a declining USA and the future of Africa SIPRI. Relevant:

Janet Yellen says security should not derail US-China economic relations FT

More Shenzhen Office Space Goes Begging for Tenants Caixin Global

Taiwan disputes China’s claim of ability to sink US Navy aircraft carrier group FT

Swift and extensive Omicron outbreak in China after sudden exit from ‘zero-COVID’ policy Nature. Model. “We modeled the epidemic dynamics of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in China from Nov. to Dec. 2022, during a period when China moved from having strict COVID-19 policies (‘zero-COVID’), to little-to-no intervention efforts. We found that after full exit from zero-COVID, the Omicron variant spread at a very high rate of 0.42/day, with a doubling time of 1.6 days, during early and mid-Dec. before the incidence peaked around Dec. 23. Our point estimate is that 97% of the population (1.4 billion people) was infected during December, with a lower 95% credibility interval of 95% of the population (1.33 billion) and a lower limit in the sensitivity analyses of 90% (1.26 billion). With an infection fatality ratio between 0.1 and 0.2% for the Omicron variant19, we would expect between 1.3 and 2.6 million COVID-19 deaths in China during Dec. 2022 as well as Jan. 2023 (because of the delay from infection to death).” Of course, the United States has a smaller population, so Biden killed more people proportionately, but still Xi did pretty well!

Myanmar

Pro-military militia members and police die under PDF attack in western Bago Region Myanmar Now

Myanmar Govt in Exile Asks Refugees in India to Stay Away From Political, Ethnic Conflicts The Wire

India

America’s India Problem The Diplomat

Working Lives: Documenting Labour Histories QAMRA

The Koreas

South Korea greenlights Japan’s nuclear waste release Anadolu Agency

Syraqistan

Oil on troubled waters: Where are the MENA’s key energy disputes? The New Arab (Rev Kev).

The Happy Country

Australia becomes first country to legalise medical psychedelics Sky News

Dear Old Blighty

Poor accounting by the ONS should not stop the necessary nationalisation of water companies Funding the Future

Mhairi Black to stand down as an MP at general election Holyrood

European Disunion

‘Nothing has changed’: France’s forgotten banlieues The New Arab

French riots show how entrenched inequalities have become FT

French parliament gives green light to secretly record footage from phones of suspects Anadolu Agency

German Defense Companies Could Be Europe’s Arsenal of Democracy Foreign Policy

South of the Border

Zelenskiy Won’t Be At CELAC in Brussels. Invitation Blocked By Unnamed Latin-American Leaders Claims Zelenskiy. St. Kitts & Nevis Observer

Legend claims there’s entrance to Underworld in Mexico — and experts think they found it Miami Herald

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine slows counteroffensive to ‘gradually wear down’ Russian troops, liberate towns NY Post. The smaller power waging a war of attrition against the larger power makes no sense.

Zelenskyy: Ukraine needs weapons on time for success in counteroffensive Ukrainska Pravda

SITREP 7/6/23: Zelensky Builds One Last Suicidal Thrust to Appease Masters Simplicius the Thinker(s). Grab a cup of coffee.

Belarus says Wagner’s Prigozhin is in Russia, raising questions about Putin deal France24

The failed coup in Russia through American looking glass Indian Punchline

Exclusive: The CIA’s Blind Spot about the Ukraine War William Arkin, Newsweek

Why no one can end the Ukraine war Edward Luttwalk, Unherd

Now is not the time for Ukraine to join Nato Katrina vanden Heuvel and James W Carden, Guardian. When you’ve lost Katrina vanden Heuvel….

Dropping a Big Rock Down a Massive 600 Foot Deep Pit Laughing Squid

Biden Administration

Government appeals ruling that restricts feds from contacting social media firms Politico. “But other legal experts said his ruling did not give adequate weight to the rights of Biden and others to cajole the companies to limit their publication of content that the officials considered objectionable.” When Psaki, speaking from a White House podium, tells Facebook to knuckle under to censorship or face anti-trust, that’s “cajoling”? Really?

Memordandum In Support Of Defendants’ Motion To Stay Preliminary Injunction Pending Appeal And, Alternatively, For Administrative Stay (PDF) STATE OF LOUISIANA, et al., Plaintiffs, v. JOSEPH R. BIDEN, JR., in his official capacity as President of the United States of America, et al. Note the ginormous typo; this must have been hastily prepared.

Mysterious White Powder Found In West Wing Identified As President Biden The Onion

2024

‘No doubt’ US will go to war with Russia if Ukraine falls, Pence says; Prigozhin back in Russia?: Live updates USA Today. Pence differentiates himself from Trump.

Digital Watch

AI Boom Stems Tech’s Downturn WSJ. How convenient.

Threads Daring Fireball. A factor to be considered in the “reporting” is that liberal Democrats are hegemonic in the press, and since their Censorship Industrial Complex has lost control of Twitter, they wish it to fail, and by extension Threads to succeed. Of course, the press is never the story….

The Bezzle

How Amazon transformed the EU into a planned economy Cory Doctorow, Pluralistic. Excellent.

Groves of Academe

North Dakota university leaders fear ‘catastrophic implications’ of Minnesota’s new free tuition plan AP

Class Warfare

DoorDash, Uber Eats and Grubhub Sue New York City Over Minimum-Wage Law WSJ

Artificial cells demonstrate that “life finds a way” Scienmag (Chuck L). Original.

Antidote du jour (via):

And a bonus (Chuck L):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.