The World’s Oldest Moss Outlived the Dinosaurs, but It May Not Survive Climate Change Scientific American

The Fungi-Mad Ladies of Long Ago JSTOR. Clickbait headline. The deck: “In mycology’s early days, botanical drawing was, for some women, a calling. Their mushroom renderings were key to establishing this new field.”

Rare Gray Wolf Pack Emerges in Unlikely Southern Sierra Nevada Habitat, Hundreds of Miles Away From Other Known Packs SFist

Credit Suisse retail investors plan lawsuit challenging UBS takeover FT

Climate

How a perfect storm of climate and weather led to catastrophic Maui fire LA Times

Hawaii Officials Were Warned Years Ago That Maui’s Lahaina Faced High Wildfire Risk WSJ (KS).

Is Carbon Capture and Storage a Climate Solution? Inside Climate News

Global heating likely to hit world food supply before 1.5C, says UN expert Guardian (KS).

Soil microbiome, Earth’s ‘living skin’ under threat from climate change (press release) Penn State University

#COVID19

US COVID markers up slightly again CIDRAP. “The two main indicators that federal health officials use to track COVID-19 activity—hospitalizations and deaths—both registered small rises this week.” That’s because they’re lagging indicators. “Biobot wastewater tracking suggests gradually rising levels in all regions of the country.” Gradually rising:

Well, I think — surprisingly — CIDRAP comes close to minimizing here. Yes, the slope of this surge is less steep than previous surges, so in that sense, “gradual.” However, the absolute numbers are high, already higher than one previous peak. Further, Midwest levels are not “gradually rising” at all; they are (ignoring possible backward revision) heading toward the vertical. As I wrote: 

Looks like the current surge is moving along quite nicely! Stay safe out there…. Open air camping on Labor Day, no? Far from the madding crowd? 232 days away…. And drive, as opposed to flying? Just a thought!

Long COVID in a highly vaccinated population infected during a SARS-CoV-2 Omicron wave – Australia, 2022 (preprint) medRxiv. N = 22,744. From the Abstract: “In a highly vaccinated population (94% with >=3 vaccine doses), almost 20% of persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant reported symptoms consistent with Long COVID 90 days post diagnosis. Long COVID was associated with sustained negative impacts on work/study and a substantial utilisation of GP services 2-3 months after the acute illness; however, ED presentations and hospitalisations for Long COVID were rare.”

Smart Thermometer–Based Participatory Surveillance to Discern the Role of Children in Household Viral Transmission During the COVID-19 Pandemic JAMA. From June, when we linked to it, but germane, as “Back to School” looms. From the Abstract: ” In this cohort study using participatory surveillance to measure within-household transmission at a national scale, we discerned an important role for children in the spread of viral infection within households during the COVID-19 pandemic, heightened when schools were in session, supporting a role for school attendance in COVID-19 spread.”

The Media Are Still Failing to Ask Serious Questions about Long COVID to Policy Makers Mike the Mad Biologist

Doctors struggle with how to help patients with heart conditions after COVID-19 CBS. They could start by wearing masks and supporting universal masking in health care facilities. Still, it’s good to see “heart conditions” and “COVID-19” in the same headline. Generally, the two topics are kept carefully, even assiduously, apart.

No, We Haven’t “Lived” with Diseases for Millions of Years Jessica Wildfire, OK Doomer. Wildfire is uneven. Here she is spot on.

China?

How U.S. and China Are Breaking Up, in Charts WSJ. Hmm.

How America is failing to break up with China The Economist

Zombie Economy New Left Review

China’s eastern economic powerhouse provides national snapshot; declining workforce, demand and wages plague Jiangsu South China Morning Post

China might change one of its most hated laws Semafor. The hukou system.

Myanmar

Sanctioned Myanmar Minister Visited India to Study Aadhaar The Wire. The “Aadhaar Unique Identity system.” I can’t imagine how that would help the Junta…. 

Junta Boss Advisor Faces ‘Hopeless’ Task: Solving Myanmar’s Economic Crisis The Irrawaddy. The beatings will continue….

Africa

West African bloc scraps crisis meeting on Niger coup Al Jazeera. ECOWAS. “The meeting was indefinitely suspended for ‘technical reasons.’”

From Chi-Town bagman to ECOWAS chairman: meet the former money launderer leading the push to invade Niger The Grayzone

China ‘winning lion’s share’ of construction projects in Africa, study finds South China Morning Post

European Disunion

France’s supreme court suspends gov’t decision to dissolve environmental activist group France24

Syraqistan

US pressures Saudi Arabia to sell oil in dollars, not Chinese yuan, amid Israel negotiations Ben Norton, Geopolitical Report

Taliban’s Massively Successful Opium Eradication Raises Questions About What US Was Doing All Along Mint Press

Dear Old Blighty

‘An utter disgrace’: 90% of England’s most precious river habitats blighted by raw sewage and farming pollution Guardian

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine makes “tactically significant” progress in counteroffensive – NYT Ukrainska Pravda

Russian Tornado Rocket Artillery Systems Bombarding ‘Foreign Mercenaries’ at Lugansk Training Range Military Watch. For some definition of “foreign mercenaries.”

‘Bribery during war is treason’: Ukraine’s Zelenskyy fires army recruiters Al Jazeera

Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Assures: Taurus and Atacms Will Be Used Exclusively inside Ukraine’s Borders European Pravda

Seymour Hersh: Harold Pinter Had It Right (complete) Scheer Post. Effects of Nord Stream II on Germany’s political economy.

Blackwater paved the way for Wagner Al Jazeera

Biden Administration

Lina Khan: The most feared person in Silicon Valley is a 34-year-old in DC Yahoo Finance. 

AOC demands DOJ target Clarence Thomas over relationship with Republican megadonor FOX. Several “megadonors” (billionaires), in fact. Driven by Pro Publica reporting.

2024

The Sweep and Force of Section Three William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, University of Pennsylvania Law Review. Important!! The Abstract:

Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment forbids holding office by former office holders who then participate in insurrection or rebellion. Because of a range of misperceptions and mistaken assumptions, Section Three’s full legal consequences have not been appreciated or enforced. This article corrects those mistakes by setting forth the full sweep and force of Section Three. First, Section Three remains an enforceable part of the Constitution, not limited to the Civil War, and not effectively repealed by nineteenth century amnesty legislation. Second, Section Three is self-executing, operating as an immediate disqualification from office, without the need for additional action by Congress. It can and should be enforced by every official, state or federal, who judges qualifications. Third, to the extent of any conflict with prior constitutional rules, Section Three repeals, supersedes, or simply satisfies them. This includes the rules against bills of attainder or ex post facto laws, the Due Process Clause, and even the free speech principles of the First Amendment. Fourth, Section Three covers a broad range of conduct against the authority of the constitutional order, including many instances of indirect participation or support as “aid or comfort.” It covers a broad range of former offices, including the Presidency. And in particular, it disqualifies former President Donald Trump, and potentially many others, because of their participation in the attempted overthrow of the 2020 presidential election.

Both Baude and Paulsen are members of the Federalist Society. I will be interested to see how Turley reacts to this (and he should react).

The Memo: Legal chaos engulfs Biden and Trump The Hill

‘Shoeless Joe’ Weiss and the fixing of the Hunter Biden game Jonathan Turley, The Hill 

The Bidens’ Case Will Keep On Giving Moon of Alabama

Vivek Ramaswamy says US ‘climate change agenda’ is a ‘hoax’ The Hill. He’s a loonie.

Ron DeSantis and his backers paid $95,000 to an Iowa religious leader’s group Reuters

Spook Country

Commentary on the Implementation Plan for the 2023 US National Cybersecurity Strategy Schneier on Security. I’m a little surprised to see Schneier simply quoting the Atlantic Council (“…finally implementing a working digital identity solution…”, “… the precarious present for the administrative state…”. And much else).

This Is What Happens When People Start Actually Reading Privacy Policies The Markup

Digital Watch

AI will be at the center of the next financial crisis, SEC chair warns Felix Salmon, Axios

Multinationals turn to generative AI to manage supply chains FT

Two rival robotaxi services win approval to operate throughout San Francisco despite safety concerns AP. Willie, good job.

The 420

The age of K: how ketamine became the decade’s defining drug The Face

Zeitgeist Watch

Note: All three of these trends have the effect of reducing crowding in poorly ventilated spaces.

It’s not just the office people don’t want to go to: COVID looks to have permanently severed something as school attendance plummets and keeps dropping Fortune

Hundreds of government employees in San Francisco told to work from home due to the high levels of crime in the area, report says Insider

Airlines can’t add high-end seats fast enough as travelers treat themselves to first class CNBC

Understanding Migration Trends to Prepare for the Post-Pandemic Future Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Class Warfare

Fourteen days across the Atlantic, perched on a ship’s rudder BBC (Furzy Mouse).

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus antidote (JB):

JB writes: “Here is photos L. took one morning on her run.”

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, India on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.