This bird can predict the intensity of a hurricane season. Here’s how. National Geographic

This songbird’s genes may show how climate change has sped up evolution WaPo

Jackson Hole: established policy models are under threat FT

Climate

Earth’s ‘third pole’ and its role in global climate Phys.org

Is Cheap Gas Worth Our Children’s Health? The Brockovich Report

Discovering a Green Marx: Kohei Saito’s Marx in the Anthropocene Protean Magazine

Water

Climate change may force more farmers and ranchers to consider irrigation Chicago Tribune

Drought-hit Panama Canal to restrict access for one year Agence France Presse

Europe’s water crisis: how supplies turned to ‘gold dust’ FT

#COVID

Eugenics, straight up (1):

Not one single mention of airborne transmisson, ventilation, or masking. Not one. Cohen does, of course, mention “common sense strategies like washing your hands.” 

Eugenics, straight up (2):

What kind of Propagandaministerium are they running over there at the Stanford School of Medicine, anyhow?

HICPAC:

Public Pushes Back On CDC’s Plan To Weaken Infection Control Forbes

Patients asked a CDC advisory panel to be more transparent. Then their comments disappeared. Source NM. The deck: “CDC re-posts YouTube recording of public meeting after taking it down.”

Excess All-Cause Mortality in China After Ending the Zero COVID Policy JAMA. From the Abstract: “[A]n estimated 1.87 million excess deaths occurred among individuals 30 years and older during the first 2 months after the end of China’s zero COVID policy. Excess deaths predominantly occurred among older individuals and were observed across all provinces in mainland China, with the exception of Tibet.” Life is cheap in the Orient. As opposed to the West, where every life matters.

What you need to know about BA.2.86, the new ‘highly mutated’ COVID variant Today

As schools resume, CDC reports new rise in COVID emergency room visits from adolescents CBS. NC readers know that ER Covid visits have been increasing for weeks.

BRICS is fake Noah Smith, Noahpinion. If Biden wants to call BRICS, who picks up the phone on the other end?

China?

How China’s economic crisis serves as unparalleled trial by fire for Premier Li Qiang South China Morning Post

Country Garden to Be Cut From Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index Bloomberg

China Ponders Russia’s Logistical Challenges in the Ukraine War The Diplomat

Non-Events New Left Review. Chinese painting.

The Japanese student dorm that governs itself The Face

India

The Constitution Isn’t a Colonial Imposition – It Emerged From a Great Mass Movement The Wire

Africa

Charismatic leader is gone but Wagner will survive in Africa, analysts say Al Jazeera

Syraqistan

Six Tropes to Look Out for That Distort Israel/Palestine Coverage FAIR

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine will speed up advance on southern front, commander says Reuters

Ukraine’s army has broken through the first line of Russian defense in ‘bloody, long, and slow’ counteroffensive, US Gen. Milley says Business Insider. I’m not seeing aerial photos or videos with dragons’ teeth. 

Ukraine’s Armed Forces approach next breakthrough of Russian defensive positions – ISW Ukrainska Pravda

The Ukrainian counteroffensive has already failed. The West could limit the damage by opening negotiations with Moscow. Exclusive interview with Professor Geoffrey Roberts (Google translate) Strumenti Politici

How Russia’s War In Ukraine Could ‘Collapse’ 1945. This pearl of wisdom:

Moltke lays out the logic succinctly: “”The tactical defense is the stronger [form of war], the strategic offensive the more effective form—and the only one that leads to the goal.”” In other words, the contender that seizes or occupies some object or parcel of territory, then defends it tactically, primes itself for strategic and ultimately political success. In colloquial terms: grab something and hold it, and dare your enemy to come and take it back while fighting at a daunting disadvantage. For the German sage, in short, waging offense through defense blazes a path to triumph.

Advantage: Russia.

Hmm. Maybe if the Confederacy had tried that….

Time and Logistics are Working Against Ukraine National Interest

Ukraine’s Vain Search for Wonder Weapons The American Conservative

SITREP 8/26/23: Wagner Denouement and BRICS Rebirth Simplicius the Thinkers(s)

Who killed Yevgeny Prigozhin? Gilbert Doctorow

Medical Services chief who criticised poor quality of tourniquets is severely reprimanded Ukrainska Pravda

OPINION: The Myth of Ukraine as ‘Most Corrupt Country in the World’ Kyiv Post

Biden Administration

Everyone Wants to Talk to Gina Raimondo–Even China WSJ

2024

Trump campaign raises $7.1 million in fundraising since mugshot was taken Thursday, Fox News confirms FOX because Trump Pays $12 Extra To Get The Cool Laser Background Mugshot The Babylon Bee

Trump’s Prosecution Is America’s Last Hope Wired. The deck: “Social norms—not laws—are the underlying fabric of democracy. The Georgia indictment against Donald Trump is the last tool remaining to repair that which he’s torn apart.” So we’re prosecuting Trump because the Norms Fairy is having a sad? Really?

A Trump Victory Would Create a Constitutional Crisis David Atkins, Washington Monthly. Personally, I think normalizing the concept that one party’s election officials can take another party’s candidates off the ballot in “self-executing” fashion is already a Constitutional crisis (albeit a crisis in our unwritten Constitution, since political parties are not Constitutional entities. I say this, in full multitude-containing mode, having just slagged “norms” above).

Is Trump disqualified for the N.H. primary? The secretary of state is seeking legal advice. Boston Globe

Trump co-defendant denied bond, held in jail The Hill. “Harrison Floyd, the leader of Black Voices for Trump.”

Former Ukrainian prosecutor Viktor Shokin accuses Joe Biden, Hunter and Burisma of corruption and claims he was POISONED twice by enemies trying to silence him Daily Mail

Spook Country

CIA stairwell attack among flood of sexual misconduct complaints at spy agency ABC

Digital Watch

California DMV Steps Into Autonomous Taxi Debate, Tells Cruise to Halve Its Fleet In SF SFist

Open challenges in LLM research Chip Huyen

The Bezzle

‘Worthless’ forest carbon offsets risk exacerbating climate change Phys.org

Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa  Fashion

Can fast fashion kick its dirty habits? FT. No.

Supply Chain

A rice shortage is sending prices soaring across the world. And things could get worse AP

Extreme heat could cause an olive oil shortage, skyrocket prices CBS

The Myth of Global Grain Shortages Business & Finance

The Jackpot

The polycrisis Aeon

Overcoming fear Funding the Future. “Fire and fear, good servants, bad lords.” –Ursula LeGuin, The Left Hand of Darkness

Class Warfare

Food delivery startup Getir to cut 11% of workers in global restructuring Reuters

The Vicious, Multibillion-Dollar War Over Sports Trading Cards The New Republic

How Musk, Thiel, Zuckerberg, and Andreessen—Four Billionaire Techno-Oligarchs—Are Creating an Alternate, Autocratic Reality Vanity Fair. They are the oligarchs who currently get the most press. But there are others, just as “effective.”

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus antidote:

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.