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Is nature a gigantic cat? Nikola Tesla, Letters of Note

Teen Gators Are Getting Into Golf Defector

The Evolution of Hummingbirds Kottke.org

The Generational Paradigm Shift Taking Over Markets WSJ. The deck: “For most of the 20th century, stocks and bond yields moved in opposite directions. They’re doing it again after a two-decade break.”

Carpe Clichés! This Time Really Was Different John Authers, Bloomberg

How Tiger Global, one of the biggest backers of startups over the past decade, fell to earth Fortune

Google goes to court Casey Newton, Platformer

Climate

The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded European Geosciences Union. The Abstract is more sanguine: “Importantly, an irreversible collapse in the Amundsen Sea Embayment sector is initiated at the earliest between 300 and 500 years in our simulations and is not inevitable yet – as also shown in our companion paper (Part 1, Hill et al., 2023). In other words, the region has not tipped yet.” So, awesome; another 500 years of rapacity ahead!

Dust: how the pursuit of power and profit has turned the world to powder Nature. The lone and level sands stretch far away….

EV Cars: Can We Electrify Our Way Out of the Climate Crisis? JSTOR Daily

Wildlife and the inescapable impact of road noise High Country News

Water

Vietnam’s Mekong Delta, world’s youngest river basin, might be first one gone VN Express. Commentary:

President Biden: Don’t Give Wall Street Control of Our Public Water Systems Common Dreams

#COVID19

Azvudine versus Paxlovid for oral treatment of COVID-19 in Chinese patients with pre-existing comorbidities (letter) Journal of Infection (DD).  Retrospective cohort study; small sample. “In this retrospective cohort study, we found that Azvudine was associated with a significantly reduced risk of composite disease progression outcome compared with Paxlovid in the COVID-19 patients with pre-existing comorbidities. Notably, Azvudine showed substantial clinical benefit than Paxlovid among men, patients under the age of 65 years, those receiving the hospitalization beyond 5 days since onset, those with severe COVID-19 on admission and those received antibiotic treatment on admission. Paxlovid has been reported to significantly reduce the hospitalization and death rates in patients over 65 years of age but not those under 65 years of age, compared with matched controls.10 Our results support the use of Azvudine in those under 65 years of age.”

China?

China’s top chipmaker may be in hot water as US lawmakers call for further sanctions after Huawei ‘breakthrough’  CNN

As US struggles for China deals, California finds common ground with EV, pollution provincial climate pacts South China Morning Post

Commentary: Is China finally getting serious about hukou reform? Channel News Asia

Caffeinated Cup Noodles for Gamers in Japan Laughing Squid

Myanmar

Drone Strike Kills Two Myanmar Junta Officials in Kachin State: PDF The Irrawaddy

Zara Factory Workers Released from Detention in Myanmar The Irrawaddy

India

India should quit the Brics Business Standard

The Koreas

North Korea’s New Submarine Carries 10 Nuclear Missiles Naval News

Syraqistan

The Middle East Becomes the World’s ATM WSJ

Mobile app helps Palestinians reduce waiting time at Israeli checkpoints Anadolu Agency. Silver lining!

Syria’s ancient adobe houses threatened by war, displacement Al Jazeera

European Disunion

EU’s man in Austria Martin Selmayr in hot water over Russian ‘blood money’ comment Politico

Dear Old Blighty

London retains crown as leading global centre for maritime arbitration, handling 85% of global caseload Hellenic Shipping News

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine Situation Report: Breakthrough At Russia’s Second Defensive Line The War Zone. DIA, ISW. Not seeing dragon’s teeth…. Commentary:

Some additional interesting nuggets from the Hersh article include the claim by Hersh’s source (presumably from the CIA) that the US/UK media reporting on the progress of the war has been terribly inaccurate and is far too credulous of what Kiev says:

“”The goal of Russia’s first line of defense was not to stop the Ukrainian offense,”” the official told me, “”but to slow it down so if there was a Ukrainian advance, Russian commanders could bring in reserves to fortify the line. There is no evidence that Ukrainian forces have gotten past the first line. The American press is doing anything but honest reporting on the failure thus far of the offense.

How the Pentagon assesses Ukraine’s progress The Economist. DIA mans up!

Why blind optimism leads us astray on Ukraine Responsible Statecraft

Situation is difficult as Russians attack on several fronts – General Staff report Ukrainska Pravda

Can Ukraine avoid a ‘forever war’ against Russia without talks? Christian Science Monitor

Russia’s Kornet Missile Has Now Cracked All Major Western Bloc Tanks: Challenger 2 Kill Follows Abrams, Leopard 2 and Merkava I Military Watch. Go long Volsk Mechanical Plant?

Bombshell biography claim: Fearing nuclear war, Musk switched off Starlink to stymie Ukraine attack on Russia The Register. Commentary:

Another reason for Blue MAGA to hate Musk…

2024

Europeans latest to provide evidence undercutting Joe Biden story about firing Ukrainian prosecutor Just the News. Evidence is a progress report on corruption (PDF) from the European Commission.

Spook Country

Trauma Takes a Toll in the U.S. Intelligence Community RAND. Idea: Stop torturing people. Also, don’t lie all the time.

Sports Desk

The little town that builds NFL footballs — all 480,000 of them Orlando Sentinel

The Supremes

Supreme Court Justice Kavanaugh predicts ‘concrete steps soon’ to address ethics concerns AP

A president and a justice: The shaping of securities law at the Supreme Court SCOTUSBlog

Health

Air quality expert Richard L. Corsi discusses the complexity of cleaning indoor air Chemical and Engineering News (RS). From 2022, still germane.

Nationwide research looks to figure out how to stop spread of flu Scripps. Hilariously, the deck: “Researchers now say it’s possible that the flu is actually transmitted not just by large wet droplets, but by fine particles as well.” Obviously, we should “live with” the flu.

A Huge Threat to the U.S. Budget Has Receded. And No One Is Sure Why. NYT. I guess we’ve finally got our care denial systems properly calibrated?

Tech

Generative AI and intellectual property Benedict Evans. “[ChatGPT is] supposed to be inferring ‘intelligence’ (a placeholder word) from seeing as much as possible of how people talk, as a proxy for how they think.” No wonder AI falls for, amplifies, and generates bullshit. Why on earth, in the general case, would anybody assume that how people talk is a reasonable proxy for how they think? (Note to ChatGPT trainers: Throw out any document with more than one page of bullet points.) In addition, the real sequence of inference here is that writing is a proxy for talking, and talking is a proxy for thinking. Tell me that’s not lossy. It’s screamingly obvious that bullshit generation at scale (see here; here; here) will be “a foundational new technology for the next decade.” But can we at least not delude ourselves about it?

The Bezzle

A Weak Cataloguing System Made It Easy to Steal From the British Museum. Institutions Around the Globe Are Reckoning With the Same Vulnerabilities Artnet

Feral Hog Watch

Germany’s wild boars still too radioactive to eat largely due to Cold War nuke tests The Register

Can Facts Reverse the Backlash to Globalization? Amos Tuck School (Petal).

Imperial Collapse Watch

Eight Things You Need to Know About the Navy’s Failed Multibillion-Dollar Littoral Combat Ship Program Pro Publica

Michael Taylor on The Development of the M1 Garand and its Implications A Collection of Unmitigated Pedantry

Migration

‘We Love Immigrant NYC’ Campaign Kicks off Immigrant Heritage Week ABC7. That’s the left hand. Meanwhile, the right hand–

Eric Adams says New York City’s migrant crisis will DESTROY the Big Apple as he warns that 10,000 illegal asylum seekers arriving EVERY month will flood EACH of the five boroughs: ‘The city we knew, we’re about to lose’ Daily Mail. Amother left hand: Whinge about Venezuelan immigrants. And another right hand: The Blob has worked hard to destroy Venezuela’s economy. What did we expect?

Chicago mayor plans to relocate nearly 1,600 migrants from police station to tents before winter FOX

This Is the True Scale of New York’s Airbnb Apocalypse Wired

Class Warfare

Walmart cuts starting hourly pay for some workers in move it says will offer consistency in staffing Chicago Tribune

Workers at one Colorado opera company push to unionize as another is accused of union busting Colorado Sun

The sense of order distinguishes humans from other animals (press release) Stockholm University. Perhaps the “LISt Processing” crowd were on to something?

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus antidote (JC):

JC writes: “Here is a picture of a plant with a charismatic bug you might find useful.”

Double bonus antidote:

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.