What we can learn from the ancient art of wayfinding BBC

Why Chanos Failed Russell Clark. The deck: “Is Short Selling A Dead Industry?”

GM Plans $10 Billion Stock Buyback in Bid to Assuage Investors WSJ

Genetics and Life Insurance – Time for Their Relationship to be Tested Again Actuaries Digital

Climate

The good and bad news on climate change Martin Wolf, FT

California & Florida Rank In Top 5 States Impacted By Climate-Related Natural Disasters The Brockovich Report

#COVID19

Where are our leaders? John Snow Project

Denmark reports Mycoplasma pneumonia epidemic Center for Infectious Research and Policy

China?

China jobs: How much employment pressure is the world’s second-largest economy facing? Channel News Asia

China’s Nov factory activity likely contracted for second month Hellenic Shipping News

Xi Jinping calls legal backing on foreign affairs an ‘urgent task’ for China South China Morning Post

Moderna begins work on China mRNA manufacturing site Channel News Asia

The World’s Largest Buyer of U.S. Debt Isn’t Going Away WSJ

Marginal Nation: Bestselling Author’s New Novel Warns of Grim Future for Japan Nippon

Myanmar

Time to start planning postwar future of Myanmar’s military Nikkei Asia. Why this dude thinks “the international community” has any standing in this matter is beyond me. “Is not a patron, my lord, one who looks with unconcern on a man struggling for life in the water, and when he has reached ground, encumbers him with help?” –Dr. Samuel Johnson

India

An Indian official plotted to assassinate a Sikh separatist leader in New York, US prosecutors say AP

India forms committee to look into security concerns raised by US Channel News Asia

The East India Company and the Politics of Knowledge Asian Review of Books

Syraqistan

Humanitarian pause extended in Gaza Strip for Thursday Anadolu Agency

Intel: Unclear how big a threat next Turkey flotilla is Jerusalem Post. Not a lot of coverage of the “1000 boats.” That’s a lot. I would have expected photos and TikToks to be all over the Twitter. They’re not.

The Hamas Attack and Israel’s War in Gaza Council for Global Cooperation

Hamas is not as popular in Gaza as it seems. But Israel’s tactics will ensure their survival Forward

New Footage Shows Latest Hamas Kill Against Israeli Armour Military Watch

Opinion: Why does Israel have so many Palestinians in detention and available to swap? LA Times

US Embassy in Azerbaijan cancels alumni meeting after being labeled “a gathering of agents” JAM News

New Not-So-Cold War

Will the Ukraine war end in a peace treaty? Gilbert Doctorow, Armageddon Newsletter. The final paragraph:

Russia has no need of a peace treaty if it succeeds in taking back Kharkov and Kherson, and, in a somewhat more distant time frame, captures Odessa and the Black Sea littoral all the way to Transnistria. This scenario is entirely possible. By pushing back Ukraine in this way, Russia will look after its own security needs sufficiently. Rump Ukraine will be a failed state that can be allowed to join the European Union, where it will be seeking vast financial support for decades. Rump Ukraine can even be allowed to join NATO, which from the Russian perspective, could provide some discipline and forestall attempts to implement insane revanchist provocations that Kiev, left to its own devices, might plan.

Haas and Kupchan divided the process of convincing Kyiv into stages (Google translation) Nezavisimaya Gazeta

A Containment Strategy for Ukraine Foreign Affairs. Mere cope.

Biden’s role in Ukraine peace is clear now Responsible Statecraft

Free Agents? Branko Marcetic, New Left Review

Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s remarks and answers to media questions at the Primakov Readings International Forum, Moscow, November 27 2023 Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation

Protest at Polish-Ukrainian border escalates as farmers join in BNE Intellinews

Slovak hauliers decide to carry out threats to block Ukrainian border Ukrainska Pravda

The Nord Stream Lies Just Keep Coming Consortium News

Russia’s Powerful Invisible Defenses Around Sevastopol Rendered Visible Naval News

Ukraine aid’s best-kept secret: Most of the money stays in the U.S.A. WaPo

Russia to require foreigners to sign ‘loyalty agreement’ Al Jazeera

Biden Administration

White House Christmas tree winched back into place after being blown over by high winds Sky News

Spook Country

CTIL Files #1: US And UK Military Contractors Created Sweeping Plan For Global Censorship In 2018, New Documents Show Public. Grab a cup of coffee, because the origin story of the Censorship Industrial complex is important. One of life’s little ironies (and please read the article and don’t just focus on this quote; I have to get this on the record because nobody else will):

But one person involved, Bonnie Smalley, replied over LinkedIn, saying, “all i can comment on is that i joined cti league [CTIL] which is unaffiliated with any govt orgs because i wanted to combat the inject bleach[1] nonsense online during covid…. i can assure you that we had nothing to do with the govt though.”

NOTE [1] Trump did not, in fact, advocate injecting bleach or anything like it, as I show from the transcript here. So spook Smalley either fell for disformation propagated by a Democrat dogpile, or she’s lying. Or both!

Digital Watch

Extracting Training Data from ChatGPT Milad Nasr, Nicholas Carlini, et al. Github:

We have just released a paper that allows us to extract several megabytes of ChatGPT’s training data for about two hundred dollars. (Language models, like ChatGPT, are trained on data taken from the public internet. Our attack shows that, by querying the model, we can actually extract some of the exact data it was trained on.) We estimate that it would be possible to extract ~a gigabyte of ChatGPT’s training dataset from the model by spending more money querying the model.

“Undigested chunks” comes to mind. Also, “outright theft.”

AI Turned These Memes Into Videos and It’s the Worst Thing I’ve Ever Seen Gizmodo. The deck: “As usual, AI takes the brilliant cultural output of human beings and turns it into abominable slop.”

Critical tipping point: AI- and human-generated online contents are considered similarly credible (press release) Mainz University of Applied Sciences and Johannes Gutenberg University. Bullshit works because it is credible.

The Ideologies of Silicon Valley (PDF) Crooked Timber

In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism Slate Star Codex (DC).

AI won’t take your job, might shrink your wages, European Central Bank reckons The Register

It’s All Bullshit The Baffler

Antitrust

Bulk of Consumers Continue to Back Antitrust Cases Against Big Tech Morning Consult

The Case for Ambulance Chasing Lawyers Matt Stoller, BIG

B-a-a-a-d Banks

Bukele’s Bitcoin Mess and the U.S.-Backed Bank That Enabled It Foreign Policy

Why Banks Are Suddenly Closing Down Customer Accounts NYT

Obituaries

Henry Kissinger, secretary of state under Presidents Nixon and Ford, dies at 100 AP. Commentary:

“Posterity will ne’er survey / a Nobler grave than this”:

The eulogies pour in:

Charlie Munger, who was Warren Buffett’s right-hand man at Berkshire, dies at 99 Reuters

How Warren Buffett Privately Traded in Stocks That Berkshire Hathaway Was Buying and Selling ProPublica

Zeitgeist Watch

More Americans than ever think US headed in wrong direction as Congress’ approval near rock bottom: survey FOX

Class Warfare

UAW will try to organize workers at all US nonunion factories after winning new contracts in Detroit AP

The resurgence of union power is bigger than money Indiana Capital Chronicle

Revealed: how top PR firm uses ‘trust barometer’ to promote world’s autocrats Guardian

Ethics has no foundation Aeon

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.