What time is the Blood Moon total lunar eclipse on Nov. 8? Space. On election day….
Reasons Are Adding Up for Optimism on Inflation John Authers, Bloomberg
Economists see recession coming, so maybe it’s not FT
Climate
Brazil, Indonesia and DRC in talks to form ‘Opec of rainforests’ Guardian
US works on plan for companies to fund emerging nations’ fossil fuel switch FT. Carbon credits.
Sea Level Rise Revisited (video) Mark H. Shapiro, YouTube. Shapiro: “I provide evidence that the rate of mean sea-level rise has been increasing in the last two decades, and I also show how much sea-level rise is impacting shore locations on the U.S. east-, gulf- and west coasts.”
A Nuclear Renaissance? The New Atlantis
One of Our Most Beloved Environmental Writers Has Taken a Surprising Turn Slate. Wendell Berry.
The Preppers Were Right All Along Bloomberg (Furzy Mouse).
Water
Southwest Water Wars Yasha Levine
#COVID19
Covid-19 is a leading cause of death in children and young people ages 0-19 years in the United States (preprint) medRxiv. From the Abstract: “Using publicly available data from CDC WONDER on NCHS’s 113 Selected Causes of Death, and comparing to mortality in 2019, the immediate pre-pandemic period, we find that Covid-19 mortality is among the 10 leading causes of death in CYP [Children and Young People] aged 0-19 years in the US, ranking 8th among all causes of deaths, 5th in disease-related causes of deaths (excluding accidents, assault and suicide), and 1st in deaths caused by infectious or respiratory diseases. Covid-19 deaths constitute 2.3% of the 10 leading causes of death in this age group. Covid-19 caused substantially more deaths in CYP than major vaccine-preventable diseases did historically in the period before vaccines became available. Various factors including underreporting and Covid-19’s role as a contributing cause of death from other diseases mean that our estimates may understate the true mortality burden of Covid-19.
Eugenics and Public Health in American History (PDF) American Journal of Public Health. From 1997, still germane.
More on the latest brainworm, “immunity debt”:
So what is this ‘immunity debt’ concept?
Claims that lack of exposure to infections weakened children’s immune systems, causing them to have severe infections.
There is no evidence that this is real.
(2/8) pic.twitter.com/U3Wb2KANk6— Sabina Vohra-Miller (@SabiVM) November 4, 2022
Fauci says U.S. is at a ‘crossroads’ as COVID kills 2,600 a week and new Omicron variants bloom with winter coming soon Fortune
Has Long COVID Always Existed? New York Magazine
Doctors say masking can help stop the spread of RSV WBRC. I’ve got strong priors here, but CDC’s obfuscatory “respiratory droplets” — the phrase CDC uses because the words “airborne” and “aerosol” stick in the throats of entrenched droplet dogmatists — appears in the text, so I immediately think RSV spreads not just from coughing and sneezing, but also breathing, talking, singing, shouting, etc.
China?
China’s No 1 priority is still GDP growth, senior economic official asserts, amid focus on ‘common prosperity’ South China Morning Post
This is why there is no ‘China-Russia alliance’ Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft
We had plexiglass barriers, but in China:
China – Mining by the numbers, 2022 Hellenic Shipping News
Fuelled by meth addiction, Vietnam’s drug-treatment centres are rife with abuse Globe_
The real message B‑52s send from northern Australia Lowy Institute. Hmm.
Loopholes Continue to Undermine American Manufacturers and Give China an Advantage Newsweek
Syraqistan
Imran Khan Declares War On Pakistan ISI & Army; Asks President To Stop Them Abusing Power Republic World (India) and The wounded Khan, worried Generals and political chaos Dawn (Pakistan).
In bankrupt Lebanon, locals mine bitcoin and buy groceries with tether, as $1 is now worth 15 cents CNBC
Dear Old Blighty
Thirteen days in October – how central bank balance sheets can support monetary and financial stability Andrew Hauser, Bank of International Settlements. Hauser is Executive Director for Markets of the Bank of England.
European Disunion
Europe Must Protect Its Electricity Market From Putin Bloomberg
New Not-So-Cold War
To End the Russia-Ukraine War, Shut Up About Negotiations WSJ. The last sentence: “A last thought: If the war is still ongoing by the 2024 election, whether or not Donald Trump is the GOP candidate, expect the U.S. intelligence establishment for the third time in a row to play an oversized role in our presidential election, mostly for ill.” “Outsized” in comparison to what? 2016? 2020?
Nation-Building in Ukraine The American Conservative
Ukraine war: Kyiv mayor warns of winter without heat, water or electricity Euronews
Russia’s aviation industry defies sanctions to remain airborne FT
“When oil ran low, technology developed the pedicab” –Frederik Pohl & C. M. Kornbluth, The Space Merchants
But notice the width of the rails:
It’s a tourist railway line… Looks like symbol manipulation to me, though of course it could be Urkrainian irony, said to be rich.
Cost of Living in Europe and Further Aid to Ukraine Gilbert Doctorow
Germany’s economic entanglement with China Adam Tooze, Chartbook
Despite tensions, Russia is shipping a giant magnet to France for a nuclear fusion project EuroNews
Biden Administration
Wow. Judge Stops the Looting of Albertsons (For Now) Matt Stoller, BIG
In back-to-back cases, justices will scrutinize traditional limits on challenges to agency proceedings SCOTUSblog
Shortages
Four Reasons Why The U.S. Is Grappling With A Diesel Shortage OilPrice.com
The Twitter
Twitter reportedly delays blue-checkmark changes until after midterm elections MarketWatch
Thousands Have Joined Mastodon Since Twitter Changed Hands. Its Founder Has a Vision for Democratizing Social Media Time. Thousands!
Is Twitter’s ‘blue tick’ a status symbol or ID badge? And what will happen if anyone can buy one? The Conversation. Before Mush, you only got a Blue Check if you’re “Notable” (see NC here). That’s status.
The World That Twitter Made The Scholar’s Stage. From 2020, still germane. Commentary:
We should start a new social network which will just be a copy of Decretum Gratiani, a systematic collection of canon law. We write our posts as interlinear glosses and marginalia and send it to each other to make own copies in the Decretverse.
Trier Hs 907 #medievaltwitter pic.twitter.com/RNv6UOFV6d
— Mateusz Fafinski (@Calthalas) November 5, 2022
Sports Desk
World Series: Philadelphia becomes 1st city to ever lose 2 championships in 1 day with Phillies, Union loss Yahoo Sports
Healthcare
The Worst Pediatric-Care Crisis in Decades The Atlantic
Imperial Collapse Watch
Stratcom Commander Says U.S. Should Look to 1950s to Regain Competitive Edge U.S. Department of Defense
Realignment and Legitimacy
Secret War Brennan Center for Justice
The Politicians Who Destroyed Our Democracy Want Us to Vote for Them To Save It Chris Hedges, ScheerPost
Psychologists provide evidence for a causal link between greater forgiveness and reduced paranoia PsyPost
Antidote du jour (via):
See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.
