Squawk bots: Can generative AI lead us to understanding animals? Google Cloud. By Betteridge’s Law, no.

Repos Rising Again As Subprime Auto Loans Put Owners Way Behind The Drive

America’s Industrial Transition Apricitas Economics

Climate

Rewilding the planet Nature

War and subsidies have turbocharged the green transition Economist

#COVID19

Non-pharmaceutical interventions:

Changes in the Incidence of Invasive Bacterial Disease During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States, 2014–2020 The Journal of Infectious Diseases. From the Abstract: “[Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs)] likely contributed to the decline in IBD incidence in the United States in 2020; observed declines were unlikely to be driven by reductions in testing.”

An estimate of pediatric lives saved due to non-pharmacologic interventions during the early COVID-19 pandemic (preprint) medRxiv. From the Main section: “Historical data also show that external deaths in [children ages >1 year] typically increase in the summer. The present data show that unlike medical deaths, the typical seasonal trends in external mortality were not disrupted by pandemic-related behavioral changes…but were nonetheless statistically higher than expected. This natural experiment indicates that pandemic interventions likely averted thousands of pediatric deaths due to medical causes, most notably during the first full winter (2021), when interventions were most intense across the nation and the virus had not yet reached all parts of the country. In that winter of 2021, the usual seasonal increase in medical causes of childhood mortality was effectively eliminated.”

Long-Term Adverse Effects of Mild COVID-19 Disease on Arterial Stiffness, and Systemic and Central Hemodynamics: A Pre-Post Study Journal of Clinical Medicine. From the Abstract: “COVID-19-associated vascular disease complications are primarily associated with endothelial dysfunction; however, the consequences of disease on vascular structure and function, particularly in the long term (>7 weeks post-infection), remain unexplored. Individual pre- and post-infection changes in arterial stiffness as well as central and systemic hemodynamic parameters were measured in patients diagnosed with mild COVID-19…. The results point toward the existence of a widespread and long-lasting pathological process in the vasculature following mild COVID-19 disease, with heterogeneous individual responses, some of which may be triggered by an autoimmune response to COVID-19.” Note “mild,” twice.

Covid Omicron Variant: ‘Rats had a hand in creating longest-running Omicron variant’ Times of India. Hmm.

Turkey’s Erdogan cancels election rallies for health reasons and Mexican president says he blacked out due to COVID-19, now OK Reuters. As I asked: “What happens when 20% of the ruling class loses substantial cognitive function?”

What lessons have we learned from the COVID pandemic? NPR. Zelikow PR blitz. Zelikow: “And this book really is kind of a revelation about, how do we restore a reputation for competence and problem solving?” #CovidIsAirborne, so start cleaning indoor air. (When I get the book, I will also look for one word of thanks and praise for people who implemented NPIs, especially masks. The words Biden has never given, not once. That would help, too.)

Review: ‘I Know Who Caused COVID-19′: Pandemics and Xenophobia MR Online

China?

Covid-19 cases are rising in China but economic impact seen as ‘limited’ South China Morning Post. “Until it started rising again this month, the percentage of people testing positive for the virus had steadily fallen from a peak of 29.2 per cent on December 25.” 29.2%? Official figures? That’s a lot.

China, Greece explore potential to boost cooperation on shipping, trade Hellenic Shipping News. Speculating freely: Since China owns Piraeus, why not Odessa next?

China’s Dominance Over U.S. Solar Market Grows Despite Efforts to Stem It WSJ

Taiwan drills to focus on piercing blockade, get ‘Five Eyes’ intelligence link Channel News Asia

The Koreas

US, South Korea sign deal to deter nuclear attacks from North Korea Anadolu Agency

Parking missile subs in South Korea creates multiple risk scenarios (press release) NewsWise

Syraqistan

Iran court orders US, Obama to pay $313m for ‘terrorist’ attacks Al Jazeera

For the ‘Flower Men’ of Saudi Arabia, A Handcrafted Tradition Heralds Beauty and Health Colossal

Dear Old Blighty

Starmer’s goal is to be nastier than the Nasty Party Jonathon Cook

The wellbeing economy: Can it really work? Holyrood

Scattering Gaggle London Review of Books. On the Spanish Armada.

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine’s coming counter-offensive may shape its future—and Europe’s The Economist. “Ukraine may never have a better chance than this.”

Ukraine is in “good position” for counter-offensive – Supreme Allied Commander Europe Ukrainska Pravdaa

The West should supply Ukraine with F-16s The Economist

DOD Digs In: F-16s Not a Priority for Ukraine, Despite Russian Airpower Air and Space Forces

Snap Insight: Xi-Zelenskyy phone call could trigger real effort towards ending Ukraine war Channel News Asia

Time for Biden to come clean on Ukraine Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

How to End the War in Ukraine Boston Review. Key sentence: “The United States and its allies could make an open-ended commitment to continue training Ukraine’s army and provide it weaponry so that it possesses the military wherewithal for deterrence and, failing that, self-defense.” Give credit, Ukrainians, especially the Nazis, are massive triers. So in ten years, they give it another go. Why would Russia accept this?

Russia can fund war in Ukraine for another year despite sanctions, leaked document says WaPo

Biden Administration

One Neat Trick to Raise the Debt Limit Bloomberg

Big Tech Blocked: Microsoft Stopped from Taking Over Gaming Matt Stoller, BIG

Republican Funhouse

No, You Are The Baffler

The Supremes

Supreme Court draws fire for ethics inaction NBC

Urgent: The Roberts Court Hogeland’s Bad History (RK).

B-a-a-a-d Banks

First Republic shares sink again, down nearly 60% in week AP

Banking Problems May Be Tip of Debt Iceberg WSJ

Welcome to a new, humbler private-equity industry The Economist

Spook Country

The Russiagate Playbook: ex-CIA chief admits interference in two straight elections (excerpt) Aaron Maté. The deck: “Former CIA deputy director Mike Morell admits that the Biden campaign triggered the false claim that the Hunter laptop story was ‘Russian disinformation.’”

Now They’re Trying Censor Your Text Messages Michael Shellenberger, Public. The deck: “The Censorship Industrial Complex wants to censor ‘problematic content’ on WhatsApp, Signal, Telegram, and other encrypted text messaging apps.”

Digital Watch

Dating apps suck, so I let a chatbot flirt with strangers for me. Things got weird fast LA Times. Hard to see how the quantity of bullshit in dating apps could possibly be increased, but perhaps readers can experiment… .

Walmart Is Using AI to Negotiate the Best Price With Some Vendors Bloomberg

The Bezzle

Using crypto for crime is not a bug — it’s an industry feature FT

KPMG fined £1mn over ‘rudimentary’ failures in TheWorks audit FT

Class Warfare

‘The Thing That’s Made the Union Strong Is to Privilege the Lowest Paid’ FAIR

Tesla broke U.S. labor law by silencing workers, official rules Reuters

More on Consultants Pedestrian Observations

Capital’s Militant New Left Review. Peter Thiel.

The Quest for Longevity Is Already Over Wired. “[Jay Olshansky, an epidemiologist at the University of Illinois at Chicago], says that the quest for longevity in the developed world is mostly already over. We already live exceptionally long lives, he points out.” Sure, but what about Third World countries, where life expectancy is decreasing?

Public records are my passion. They can be yours too. Brutal South

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.