Watch Aggressive Orcas Target Another Sailing Ship Off the Coast of Europe Field & Stream. Fascinating to watch, but I don’t think it will scale.

What Can Jellyfish Teach Us About Fluid Dynamics? Quanta

Christine Lagarde: Breaking the persistence of inflation Bank of International Settlements

Indexing is Well Understood Barry Ritholtz, The Big Picture

Climate

Out of the Wild The New Atlantis (Henry Moon Pie).

Breaking the Mold Atmos

Monsoon in July is cumulatively expected to be ‘normal’, says IMD Business Standard

New Zealand falls out of love with sheep farming as lucrative pine forests spread Guardian. Worked for Quebec! Oh, wait…

Water

Widespread Drought Creates Winners and Losers in U.S. Agriculture WSJ

New report finds most US kale samples contain ‘disturbing’ levels of ‘forever chemicals’ Guardian

The looming fate of Fukushima’s contaminated water The Interpreter

#COVID19

Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note (PDF) Joseph Norman, Yaneer Bar-Yam, Nassim Nicholas Taleb. From 2020, explicated here at NC, still highly germane. “It will cost something to reduce mobility in the short term, but to fail do so will eventually cost everything—if not from this event, then one in the future.” On “mobility,” see below on Okinawa.

The government had to make a choice as to who would survive Covid. The choice was people or financial services. It made the wrong choice Funding the Future. Stochastic eugenicism.

Intrinsic and effective severity of COVID-19 cases infected with the ancestral strain and Omicron BA.2 variant in Hong Kong Journal of Infectious Diseases. The Conclusion: “Omicron has comparable intrinsic severity to the ancestral Wuhan strain although the effective severity is substantially lower in Omicron cases due to vaccination.” So, not “mild.”

Face masks and selfie bans return to limit COVID-19 in Tour de France peloton Cycling News

Okinawa’s plea on COVID: Avoid visiting this summer if unwell Asahi Shimbun. Useless plea, since Covid spreads asymptomatically. Alert reader SG writes:

I thought I’d add some personal observations about the general situation in Okinawa, since I returned from a two week visit there a couple of weeks before this most recent outbreak seems to have started.

First, as you noted Okinawa is a major domestic vacation destination in Japan – it’s semitropical with a lot of beaches, a somewhat different culture from Japan proper but still familiar and quite comfortable for visitors from other parts of Japan. What you don’t mention is that it has also become a major vacation destination for Chinese tourists as well. The Japanese government lifted all testing and vaccination requirements for entry a couple of months ago, so it’s certainly likely that some infected foreign tourists may have made it in and started this outbreak. One certainly can’t rule out the large number of American military personnel and contractors as a source, either.

The Japanese government seems to have promulgated the same “the emergency is over – Covid is just like the flu now” line of BS that other governments have been selling. Some of my Okinawan friends seemed to believe it, unfortunately.

Masking is still a lot more common on Okinawa than it is in the US. I’d estimate that around 50% of the riders on the Naha monorail (the only rail line in Okinawa) were masked. Every taxi driver and hotel employee I encountered was masked. A lot of servers in restaurants were masked as well and quite a few people in small businesses. Flight attendants and agents for ANA were all masked, as were most of the international flight attendants on United. That’s the good part. The bad part is that I didn’t see any well fitted respirators – just surgical masks or cloth masks with ear loops. It was stiflingly hot and humid during my visit, which might have discouraged people from masking. I wore a discreetly camouflaged N99 elastomeric respirator when indoors or on transit, with one exception.

I seem to have been lucky since I’m past the typical incubation period and haven’t had any symptoms.

Still, between the increase in tourism on the island and the Japanese government’s “everything is normal” propaganda, I think this outbreak was entirely predictable.

Airport of the future: a seamless, high-tech urban oasis Axios. “Many airports are quickly moving toward “touchless” technology using facial recognition, AI, automation and biometric scanners to smooth check-in and security or immigration clearances.” Nothing about ventilation, filtration, CO2 monitoring, social distancing, toilets spreading aerosols, or variant sample collection.

China?

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to visit China from Thursday for talks ‘to address global challenges’ South China Morning Post

Is the US Stronger than China? Policy Tensor

India

Modi’s much-hyped US visit has shifted no sand in the Indo-Pacific alliance South China Morning Post

The Uniform Civil Code Is A Diversionary Tactic Aimed At Electoral Gains Madras Courier

Africa

Egypt gets China-funded satellites in step towards space industry ambitions South China Morning Post

European Disunion

The EU’s Digital Services Act Confronts Silicon Valley The Wilson Center. From February, still germane. The Act seems to be barreling toward passage (here; here). Do any EU mavens have views?

The politics of the French riots and In French town under curfew, wave of violence leaves locals dazed and angry Politico. Gotta say, Politico sounds a little huffy here.

France Tightens Security, Restricts Internet Access As Protests Continue Escalating Morocco World News

Haute couture week kicks off in Paris amid violent riot fears France24

Violent protests in France spread to Switzerland Anadolu Agency

Dear Old Blighty

The many headaches of Rishi Sunak Politico

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine war: The lethal minefields holding up Kyiv’s counter-offensive BBC.

Ukraine says Russian troops advancing in ‘fierce fighting’ Agence France Presse

Ukraine ‘preparing for nuclear explosion’ as Russian troops ordered to leave Zaporizhzhia plant: ‘Whole world is watching’ NY Post

Explosion rocks Zaporizhzhia Ukrainska Pravda. “An old mine or some kind of munition.” Pravda’s headline really had me going!

SITREP 6/30/23: Winds Gather Before the NATO Summit Simplicius the Thinker(s). Well worth a read. “The Zaporozhye nuclear falseflag scenario is still rolling along, stronger than ever with a spate of new developments.” Götterdämmerung-bent Ukro-Nazis lusting to turn the Donbas into a radioactive wasteland is a parsimonious explanation (and no doubt Nuland would give them more cookies). That said, here is a map of the prevailing winds:

As you can see, blowing Zaporozhye sends a radioactive plume toward Crimea, which the Ukro-Nazis are said to cherish. So strategically, we have a precedent:

[embedded content]

Trying to game this out from my 30,000-foot armchair: Big Z (see below) badly needs a stunt before Vilnius. Perhaps Ukraine could somehow engineer a failed or abortive plant explosion, which the radioactivity monitors so conveniently installed by the United States could then detect. All of the outrage, none of the strontium-90….

Diplomacy Watch: How is the West responding to Prigozhin’s abandoned revolt? Responsible Statecraft

Russia takes direct control of Wagner forces in Syria The Cradle

EU considers Russian bank concession to safeguard Black Sea grain deal FT

Please tell me this is a fake:

Biden Administration

Uncle Sam cracks down on faked reviews and bad influencers The Register. The deck: “Big $50,000 fines for misleading posts… unless it’s political, natch.”

The Biden administration guaranteed attorney access for all migrant screenings. Most don’t have it AP. On the bright side, Biden doesn’t owe them six hundred bucks. So there’s that.

Digital Watch

Breakthrough quantum computer instantly makes calculations that take rivals 47 years The Telegraph. Great! Now maybe Google can finally fix search!

Exclusive: Immigrants play outsize role in the AI game Axios

The Bezzle

EBT Skimmers Are Draining Millions of Dollars From the Neediest Americans Bloomberg. I’m sure contactless will be fine.

Our Famously Free Press

Report Shows How Military Industrial Complex Sets Media Narrative on Ukraine FAIR (Lawndart).

Chris Hedges: They Lied About Afghanistan. They Lied About Iraq. And They Are Lying About Ukraine Scheer Post

Sports Desk

Ashes 2023: Jonny Bairstow brain-fade results in bizarre dismissal on Day 5 at Lord’s India Today

Imperial Collapse Watch

Empire Destroyed (video) Andrei Martyanov, YouTube. Shipping materiel across the Atlantic. Or not. Now do the Pacific!

De-Bunking the Barbarians JSTOR

Who built this roller coaster? Boeing?

Ensorcelled by þe Devil of Malthus Brad DeLong’s Grasping Reality

Class Warfare

UPS reaches deal that lowers chances of nationwide Teamsters strike The Hill

‘Loud Quitting’ Is The Next Step From ‘Quiet Quitting,’ ‘Bare Minimum Mondays’ And ‘Acting Your Wage’ Forbes

Decapitalizing Culture New Left Review

Transcript, America This Week: “The Man That Corrupted Hadleyburg,” by Mark Twain Racket News

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.