Punxsutawney Phil predicted on Groundhog Day we’d have a longer winter, and even with his spotty track record, he may be right.
The Farmers’ Almanac has released its spring 2023 weather forecast, and if you’re hoping warmer temperatures are on the horizon, you may be waiting.
The almanac, which has been predicting long-range weather outlooks annually since 1818, says spring temperatures will take their time to arrive and be slow to warm.
The vernal equinox – which officially marks the beginning of astronomical spring in the Northern Hemisphere – will be on March 20, but the almanac predicts much of the country will still be dealing with unseasonably cold temperatures then.
“We are predicting a ‘soggy, shivery spring ahead,'” the almanac said. “Overall, we see a wet and cool season for most places, with spring taking its sweet time to arrive.”
As part of their spring outlook, the Farmers’ Almanac also reveals its weather predictions for six regions of the U.S. Here’s what you can expect your spring to be:
Note: Forecasts for Alaska and Hawaii are not listed.
West
Much of the West, specifically California, experienced a wet beginning of the year, but the region will likely have the warmest temperatures in the country. The almanac predicts the region will have a “warm-to-hot continued dry.”
This forecast applies to:
- California
- Nevada
- Arizona
- Utah
Pacific Northwest
The Pacific Northwest will be the only region to have a typical spring, with the forecast being “seasonal temperatures and precipitation.”
This forecast applies to:
- Washington
- Oregon
- Idaho
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Midwest
The Midwest and Rockies will have “coolish” temperatures with above normal precipitation.
This forecast applies to:
- Montana
- Wyoming
- Colorado
- North Dakota
- South Dakota
- Nebraska
- Kansas
- Minnesota
- Iowa
- Missouri
Southwest
A stormy spring is forecast for the Southwest, as the almanac says the region will have near normal temperatures but “plenty of thunderstorms” and showers. The springtime also marks the beginning of “tornado season” in the southern plains.
This forecast applies to:
- New Mexico
- Texas
- Oklahoma
- Arkansas
- Louisiana
- Mississippi
Great Lakes
The Great Lakes region will have the most unique spring, the almanac says. The area will have a “cool, very stormy” spring, but snow will “continue to be mentioned” in April.
This forecast applies to:
- Wisconsin
- Illinois
- Michigan
- Indiana
- Ohio
South
The South will have “near normal spring temps, tons of showers.”
This forecast applies to:
- Florida
- Alabama
- Georgia
- Tennessee
- North Carolina
- South Carolina
- Kentucky
- West Virginia
- Virginia
Northeast
The Northeast will have “mild temperatures near normal precipitation.”
This forecast applies to:
- Maryland
- Washington D.C.
- Pennsylvania
- Delaware
- New Jersey
- New York
- Connecticut
- Rhode Island
- Massachusetts
- Vermont
- New Hampshire
- Maine
‘Severe weather zone’
“Heavy-to-severe” spring thunderstorms are forecast for the South to the Great Lakes, as the Farmers’ Almanac says this area will be a “severe weather zone.”
“Such adverse activity will be confined chiefly to the Southeast States during March, then will spread north and west April through June,” the almanac said.
Here’s what states are part of the zone:
- Mississippi
- Alabama
- Tennessee
- Kentucky
- Indiana
- Ohio
How does the Farmers’ Almanac predict weather?
The Farmers’ Almanac long-range weather outlook isn’t made up just prior the season, but two years in advance.
The almanac says its forecaster Caleb Weatherbee “uses a top-secret mathematical and astronomical formula, taking sunspot activity, tidal action, the position of the planet and many other factors into consideration.”
Follow Jordan Mendoza on Twitter: @jordan_mendoza5.