The Secret to Beetles’ Unfathomable Diversity Scientific American

Crocodiles Seen Guiding Dog to Safety in India And Scientists Don’t Know Why Science Alert

Istanbul’s famed cats now have their own museum Anadolu Agency

Climate

September hottest on record by ‘extraordinary’ margin, says EU monitor France24

Ozone hole above Antarctica one of the largest on record: Scientists Anadolu Agency

Climate Change Risk and Opportunity for the General Insurance Actuary Actuaries Digital

China?

Australia concludes China decoupling ‘impossible’ after carrying out series of classified studies South China Morning Post. The imperial hegemon that can’t manufacture its own ammo won’t be happy about that.

How to Break China’s Hold on Batteries and Critical Minerals Foreign Policy

Syraqistan

Israeli settlers storm Al-Aqsa Mosque complex on fifth day of Sukkot Al Jazeera

European Disunion

French government dissolves far-right Catholic party Civitas Anadolu Agency

New Not-So-Cold War

Biden suggests he has a path around Congress to get more aid to Ukraine and plans major speech AP. West Wing brain.

SITREP 10/4/23: The Beginning of a Long Fall for Ukraine Simplicius the Thinkers(s). “The way military support works is your logistics chains from many months ago are critical to the efforts of today. What would be essential to a hypothetical Ukrainian spring 2024 offensive would need to be heavy arms shipping now. The fact that there is nothing new of note being shipped means Ukraine’s near and medium term future look stark.”

Slovakia halts military aid to Ukraine after parliamentary elections Ukrainska Pravda. Tick, tick.

Will Ukraine’s effort go bankrupt gradually…then suddenly? Responsible Statecraft

Further to “”Divine Intervention””: Too good to be true? Gilbert Doctorow, Armageddon Newsletter

A Wartime Election in Ukraine? It’s a Political Hot Potato. NYT

Ukraine war: Russia plans naval base on Black Sea coast of breakaway Georgia region, report says South China Morning Post

UK warns of Russia laying ‘sea mines’ to deter Black Sea cargo ships Al Jazeera

Germany to provide Ukraine with extra air defence to protect grain cargo – Bloomberg Ukrainska Pravda

Russia’s Crimean Red Line Has Been Erased Foreign Policy

Ukrainian special operation forces land in Crimea, battle with losses occurs – Defence Intelligence Ukrainska Pravda. Another stunt. Photo op, using jet skis.

Russian Troops Cede Ground and Strike Back, Frustrating Ukraine’s Counteroffensive NYT. “Elastic defense.” Long-known, except to Times readers, of course.

Why Russia Exported Almost All the Tanks it Built Until 2022: Few New T-90s or T-14s Ordered Until Ukraine War Military Watch

South of the Border

U.S. Academic Steve Ellner: ‘Venezuela needs more checks and balances to fight corruption and abuse of power MR Online

Republican Funhouse

With Kevin McCarthy out, it is time for a bipartisan Speaker Brookings Institution. How about Oprah?

House GOP takes revenge on Democrats after McCarthy ousting The Hill

Shutdown fears loom over Wall Street after McCarthy ouster The Hill

After 50 Years, This Right-Wing Law Factory Is Crazier Than Ever Exposed by CMD. ALEC.

That’s The Truth? Aurelien, Trying to Understand the World

Antitrust

Amazon Used Secret ‘Project Nessie’ Algorithm to Raise Prices WSJ

The government’s case to break up Amazon, explained Vox

Spook Country

US Intelligence Surprised by African Coup Spy Talk

How US Intelligence Agencies Hid Their Most Shameful Experiments Literary Hub

Healthcare

How Many Microbes Does It Take to Make You Sick? Quanta. The deck: “Exposure to a virus isn’t an all-or-nothing proposition. The concept of “”infectious dose”” suggests ways to keep ourselves safer from harm.” Good concept to repeat, but not new. Paracelsus, c. 1500:  “The dose makes the poison.” Although the relation is not linear! The conclusion:

Masking, increased ventilation and distancing reduces the number of microbes you’re exposed to. Vaccination increases the infectious dose. These are the pillars of protection against infection from pretty much every pathogen. Transmission dynamics are complex, but the interventions we can take to protect ourselves are comparatively simple.

So “public health” now has a pre-1500 understanding of infection. That’s an impressive regression!

Breaking Up Is Hard to Do — More Heartbreak from Corporate Decisions in Medicine NEJM. Adminstrators prefer fancy new buildings to patient care.

New study links ‘good’ cholesterol with dementia The Hill

The Bezzle

‘Tragic Contagion’ Spreads: Major Crypto Lender Vauld Suspends Trading After $198 Million In Customer Withdrawals Forbes

Digital Watch

We know how to regulate new drugs and medical devices–but we’re about to let health care AI run amok Fortune

SoftBank’s Son Says Artificial General Intelligence Will Soon Surpass Humans WSJ. We can look toward pre-Confederate “positive good” theorists for the social and moral effects of owning slaves.

Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa-Fashion

Fossil Fuels in Fashion: How Petroleum Ended Up in Our Jeans and Leggings Teen Vogue

Supply Chain

$67 Billion of Rare Minerals Is Buried Under One of the World’s Biggest Carbon Sinks WSJ. On peat, see NC here, here, and here. Rare minerals for, naturally, climate-friendly EVs.

Relocate, relocate, relocate Hellenic Shipping News. On “container imbalaces” and the changes to the geopolitical order for which they are a proxy.

Imperial Collapse Watch

The U.S. Has a New Set of Tools for Bullying the World NYT. E.g., SWIFT. Once again, Times readers are only learning about this now?

Why Is Target Closing Stores? Jeff-alytics

Mint Plaza Sleeping Pod Complex Dinged With Violations After City Inspection SFist

Class Warfare

Health care workers picket outside US hospitals in multiple states, kicking off 3-day strike AP

Why Almost Every Family Office Employee Is Getting a Fat Raise in 2023 Institutional Investor. On family offices, see NC here and here.

Awe-inspiring science can have a positive effect on mental wellbeing, new research finds (press release) University of Warwick

Meet this year’s MacArthur ‘genius grant’ recipients, including a hula master and the poet laureate AP. And Linsey Marr, aerosol scientist!

Federal Officials Capture Rare Photos of a Jaguar Crossing the U.S.-Mexico Border Field and Stream

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus antidote (via), as long as we’re doing sepia:

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.