Lambert and I, and many readers, agree that Ukraine has prompted the worst informational environment ever. We hope readers will collaborate in mitigating the fog of war — both real fog and stage fog — in comments. None of us need more cheerleading and link-free repetition of memes; there are platforms for that. Low-value, link-free pom pom-wavers will be summarily whacked.

And for those who are new here, this is not a mere polite request. We have written site Policies and those who comment have accepted those terms. To prevent having to resort to the nuclear option of shutting comments down entirely until more sanity prevails, as we did during the 2015 Greek bailout negotiations and shortly after the 2020 election, we are going to be ruthless about moderating and blacklisting offenders.

–Yves

P.S. Also, before further stressing our already stressed moderators, read our site policies:

Please do not write us to ask why a comment has not appeared. We do not have the bandwidth to investigate and reply. Using the comments section to complain about moderation decisions/tripwires earns that commenter troll points. Please don’t do it. Those comments will also be removed if we encounter them.

The Mysterious, Vexing, and Utterly Engrossing Search for the Origin of Eels Hakai

The inflation fight: are central banks going too far, too fast? FT

Bond Market Meltdown Captures Inflation Fears, Recession Forecasts, Capitulation Risk The Street

Climate

Why the Rush to Mine Lithium Could Dry Up the High Andes E360

Water

In America, Clean Water Is Becoming a Luxury Mother Jones

#COVID19

Long-term neurologic outcomes of COVID-19 Nature. From the Discussion:

In this study [drawn from VA data] involving 154,068 people who had COVID-19, 5,638,795 contemporary controls and 5,859,621 historical controls, which altogether correspond to 14,064,985 person-years of follow up, we show that beyond the first 30 days of infection, people with COVID-19 are at increased risk of an array of neurologic disorders spanning several disease categories including stroke (both ischemic and hemorrhagic), cognition and memory disorders, peripheral nervous system disorders, episodic disorders, extrapyramidal and movement disorders, mental health disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, sensory disorders and other disorders including Guillain–Barré syndrome, and encephalitis or encephalopathy. The risks and burdens were evident in subgroups based on age, race, sex, obesity, smoking, ADI, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, hyperlipidemia, hypertension or immune dysfunction. The risks were evident even in people who did not need hospitalization during the acute phase of the infection and increased according to the care setting of the acute phase of the disease from nonhospitalized to hospitalized to admitted to intensive care. The findings were consistent in comparisons involving the contemporary control group and the historical control group. The results were robust to challenge in sensitivity analyses; the application of negative-exposure and negative-outcome controls yielded results consistent with prior expectations. Altogether, our results show that the risks and burdens of neurologic disorders in the COVID-19 group at 12 months are substantial.

NOTE * Good thing, then, that the CDC’s “community levels” metric is weighted so that mitigation guidance is issued only after the hospitalization load (a lagging indicator) increases. Rochelle, Ashish, Jha, good job.

SARS-CoV-2 Secondary Attack Rates in Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Household Contacts during Replacement of Delta with Omicron Variant, Spain Emerging Infectious Diseases, CDC. 466 household contacts from 227 index cases . From the Abtstract: “Our data suggest vaccine evasion might be a cause of rapid spread of the Omicron variant. We recommend a focus on developing vaccines with long-lasting protection against severe disease, rather than only against infectivity.”

CDC says some nursing homes and hospitals no longer need to require universal masking CBS. Andy Cuomo? Is that you?

These parents are making DIY air purifiers for Philly schools. They want one in every city classroom. Philadelphia Inquirer (MR).

Is the Covid-19 pandemic over? The answer is more art than science Stat

Biden Says the Pandemic Is Over. Is It? BU Today. “From a fundamental scientific perspective, a pandemic cannot be declared over by a single country, since pandemics involve all countries.”

China?

As US IPO Market Languishes, Listings Head East to Booming China Yahoo Finance (ctlieee).

The typical Chinese adult is now richer than the typical European adult, a new wealth report finds Insider

China shifts US bond holdings offshore, potentially beyond the reach of any future currency sanctions, report says Insider

Why are some shopping malls in Shanghai so few? Reporter’s visit: I can’t blame the epidemic, I have a hard injury What China Reads. In Shanghai, malls have recovered unevenly.

Australia considering buying first few nuclear submarines from the US instead of building them onshore Sydney Morning Herald

Solomon Islands’ prime minister, saying it had been maligned for China pact, denounces US South China Morning Post

Myanmar

Myanmar’s Multiple Crises: A Recipe for Disaster Reporting ASEAN

Leaders of S. Korea, Japan agree to strive to improve ties AP

India

INS Vikrant: Why India’s aircraft carrier is no match for China Al Jazeera

Syraqistan

Iran protests flare anew hours after pro-government rallies Hurriyet Daily News

Ukraine expels the ambassador of Iran — because of the drones used by Russia in the war Babel

European Disunion

Italy’s election campaign ends, tensions between EU and right flares Reuters. Commentary:

Silvio Berlusconi: Ex-PM defends Russian war on eve of Italian election BBC

Old Blighty

Pound tumbles below $1.09 after Kwarteng’s £45bn tax cut package FT

A budget that harms everyone except the very rich Mainly Macro. Commentary:

The best hope is that the Tories will boot Truss out. Otherwise, disaster looms. Tax Research UK

I remember this also:

New Not-So-Cold War

Azov Delegation Visits the US Ukes, Kooks & Spooks (guurst). Lining up real estate opportunities and cable gigs, no doubt.

U.S. prepared to impose more costs on Russia over Ukraine referendums Reuters. Incomprehensibly, Ukraine shelling Donetsk didn’t tip the referenda in their favor.

Occupied Ukraine holds Kremlin-staged vote on joining Russia AP. The most neutral headline I can find; the Twitter is utterly polluted.

Russia Can’t Protect Its Allies Anymore Foreign Policy

Ukraine War Shows the US Military Isn’t Ready for War With China Bloomberg

Millennials, assembled: At UN, younger leaders rise AP

Biden Administration

There’s No Reason Puerto Rico Had to Go Through This Again Slate

Fact Check: Rep. Rashida Tlaib Said Progressives Must Oppose Israeli Apartheid The Intercept

Cherokee Nation launches campaign to seat Tribe’s delegate in US House Muskogee Phoenix

Brazil’s China-Heavy Election The Diplomat

2024

What you need to know about the complex legal challenges to Ron DeSantis’s migrant flights The Hill

All the Governor’s Men Bolts Magazine. More DeSantis.

Democrats en Deshabillé

L.A. County sheriff’s unit accused of targeting political enemies, vocal critics LA Times

Republican Funhouse

Where GOP governors are transporting migrants Axios

Big Brother Is Watching You Watch

A Danish City Built Google Into Its Schools—Then Banned It Wired

Short-sighted:

Intelligence Community

CIA launches a podcast, hoping to ‘demystify’ the agency and boost recruitment Miami Herald. Happy anniversary:

The Bezzle

The $8.6 Billion Startup That Helps Governments Trace Crypto Bloomberg

Sports Desk

ESPN Milwaukee Sidelines Brett Favre Amid Welfare Scandal Front Office Sports

Realignment and Legitimacy

Georgia secretary of state to replace election equipment accessed by Trump allies The Hill. Revise the headline to see the problem: “Georgia secretary of state to replace election equipment pens and paper accessed by Trump allies.”

Imperial Collapse Watch

The Navy Accused Him of Arson. Its Own Investigation Showed Widespread Safety Failures ProPublica

Tech:

Class Warfare

‘Bro, How Do I Fix This?’: Home Depot Workers Form Independent Union Labor Notes

The One Where a Finance Bro Paid Me to Run His Tinder Account for (and While Pretending to Be) Him Nandini Balial, Zora

Antidote du jour (via):

Bonus Antidote (ctlieee):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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This entry was posted in Guest Post, Links on by Lambert Strether.

About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.